The Business
Energy, Just Transition and Net Zero

Budget 2026: breathing space on bills, open questions on energy

Chancellor John Healey pictured in 10 Downing Street reviewing his budget speech. Picture by Lauren Hurley / No 10 Downing Street

Chancellor John Healey’s first budget puts energy bills and household costs squarely in the spotlight, with a package of support that will be felt immediately by consumers. For businesses, investors and Scotland’s wider energy transition, though, many of the more strategic questions remain for another day.

Breathing space for households

Healey has extended the temporary 0% VAT rate on domestic electricity to 1 July 2027, a measure expected to take around £50 off the annual Ofgem price cap from April next year compared with where it would otherwise have been.
Alongside this, a £2.6 billion Household Energy Payment will provide a direct £100 payment from January 2027 to around 20 million households in council tax bands A–D in England, with devolved governments receiving their share through the Barnett formula to offer equivalent support.

The Chancellor also confirmed that standing charges on gas bills will be removed “from next year”, with similar reforms promised for electricity, addressing one of the most persistent sources of complaint from bill‑payers.
Taken with another extension of the 5p cut in fuel duty, the budget is clearly designed to offer near‑term relief from energy‑related costs at a time when international gas and oil prices have spiked again.

For households, this amounts to a second winter in which the UK Government is absorbing more of the volatility in wholesale markets and easing the immediate pressure on budgets.

For Scotland, the key question will be how quickly the Scottish Government chooses to mirror the Household Energy Payment and whether it uses its share of funding to target support differently, given its own fuel‑poverty priorities.

Rewriting how costs sit on bills

Beyond short‑term support, Healey is signalling a shift in how policy costs are loaded onto energy bills. The budget confirms that the planned Gas Shipper Obligation levy to fund hydrogen projects will be scrapped, with those projects instead backed directly from government rather than through a surcharge on gas bills.

The Chancellor also trailed a new “cost control framework” intended to drive down all aspects of energy bills and prevent future policy decisions from routinely being passed through to consumers in the form of levies.
In principle, this aligns with long‑standing calls from industry and consumer groups to keep decarbonisation policy transparent and predictable, rather than blending it into unit rates and standing charges where its impact is harder to see.

How far this framework will reach – and how it will interact with Ofgem’s role, network regulation and the complex layering of existing schemes – is not yet clear from the budget documents. Energy companies and investors are therefore likely to spend the months ahead examining the detail to judge whether it offers genuine long‑term stability around costs, or simply adds another layer of oversight to an already crowded institutional map.

The Energy Wealth Fund and GB Grid

Two initiatives stand out in the wider energy package: the Energy Wealth Fund and the move towards a GB Grid entity to accelerate connections.

The Energy Wealth Fund, first announced ahead of the budget, will sit within the National Wealth Fund, with an initial £2 billion allocation and a remit to invest in renewable and low‑carbon infrastructure across the UK, linked explicitly to future North Sea revenues.

Similarly, GB Grid is not a new invention of this budget, but rather a further development of existing plans to reform how the UK’s electricity system is governed and how quickly projects can connect to the grid.

The aim is to use public capital to crowd in private investment into projects that lower energy costs and support the transition to net zero by 2050.
For Scotland, that raises obvious questions about how this new UK‑level fund will relate to devolved policy, existing mechanisms such as ScotWind revenues, and the pipeline of onshore, offshore and grid projects already in train.

On networks, the Chancellor pledged “cheaper, faster grid connections through GB Grid” and reform of the “complex web of institutions” that currently govern the system.

He also promised that the UK Government will only buy and build new clean power projects that lower bills and can connect to the grid, and that more existing renewables will be moved onto fixed‑price contracts to weaken the link between household bills and international gas prices.

Those commitments speak directly to frustrations in Scotland around constraint payments, transmission charging and the time taken to secure viable grid connections for new renewable capacity.

However, the budget gives very little detail on how GB Grid will be structured, how responsibilities will shift between system operators and regulators, and how quickly these changes might unlock stalled projects north of the border.

Industrial energy: BICS and the wider economy

On industrial energy costs, Healey’s first budget leans heavily on the British Industrial Competitiveness Scheme (BICS), which is now open for applications.

From April 2027, eligible electricity‑intensive manufacturers across Great Britain will be exempt from the indirect costs of the Renewables Obligation, Feed‑in Tariffs and Capacity Market, cutting their electricity bills by up to around 25 per cent.

More than 10,000 manufacturing sites are expected to benefit, covering sectors such as aerospace, defence, automotive and chemicals, alongside the “foundational” industries that supply them.

Businesses that qualify this year will also receive a lump‑sum payment equivalent to roughly a year’s relief, with the scheme targeted at firms in England, Scotland and Wales facing some of the highest industrial power prices among advanced economies.

For Scotland, BICS will matter to the fabrication yards, component manufacturers, ports and industrial clusters that sit within offshore wind, grid reinforcement and wider energy supply chains.

These sectors are central to the “reindustrialisation” narrative set out by Andy Burnham’s government, but they also depend on predictable tax treatment of North Sea producers, clear signals on CCUS, and timely grid investment – areas where the budget leaves important uncertainties.

What wasn’t said

The budget makes relatively little mention of long‑duration electricity storage, including pumped‑storage hydro schemes in the Highlands that UK ministers have recently highlighted as an opportunity to reduce dependence on gas generation.

Similarly, while nuclear remains within the UK Energy Minister’s portfolio, there are no new decisions or investment frameworks here that would clarify the future role of nuclear in Scotland’s energy mix, where political positions between governments remain sharply divided.

On carbon capture and storage, the documents confirm that £200 million has been removed from previously signalled CCS capital grants, leaving the Acorn project at Peterhead still without the same confirmed backing as other clusters.

And although the budget contains general commitments on skills and youth employment, there is no dedicated plan for the energy workforce transition comparable to the targeted programmes already being developed around offshore wind and manufacturing in Scotland.

None of these gaps will come as a surprise to developers or investors, but they do mean that many of the structural questions facing Scotland’s energy system remain open even as households receive immediate help with bills.

Businesses are likely to spend the coming year probing how far the new funds and frameworks announced in Healey’s first budget will go in practice – and what else will be required from both the UK and Scottish governments to unlock investment at scale.

The Business of Energy 2026

For readers of The Business, the real test of this budget will be whether these measures translate into tangible outcomes that support Scotland’s long‑term economic and energy ambitions, rather than simply easing another winter of high bills.

That is the conversation The Business of Energy 2026 will convene, bringing together policymakers, industry and investors to examine how the budget and subsequent decisions will shape the next phase of the transition.

Michael Shanks MP. UK Government Minister of State for Energy

Michael Shanks, UK Government Minister of State for Energy at the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, will deliver a keynote address at the conference before joining a joint question‑and‑answer session.

Stephen Gethins MSP, Scottish Government Minister for Europe, External Affairs and Energy

He will be joined by Stephen Gethins, Scottish Government Minister for Europe, External Affairs and Energy, who will also give a keynote, offering delegates a rare opportunity to hear directly – and in one room – from both governments on the future of Scotland’s energy system.

Across the day, discussions will range from the grid and transmission charging to the future of nuclear, north sea, renewables, and the skills and supply‑chain capacity needed to deliver projects on the ground.

By the time the next budget comes into view, businesses in Scotland will be looking for clearer answers to many of the questions Healey’s first budget has raised – and The Business of Energy 2026 is set to be one of the first major forums where those answers are publicly tested.

The Business of Energy 2026 will take place at the EICC, Edinburgh on 01 December. Find out more and register your place here.

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